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How long do you think the GPU will reach 400 teraflops?

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  3. How long do you think the GPU will reach 400 teraflops?

User Info: Terrorknight3

6 months ago#1
I heard that 40 teraflops would be needed for photorealism graphics.

20 years?

User Info: Renraku_San

6 months ago#2
Nvidia will nail it within 2 years. AMD will take ~5 eons.
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User Info: Boge

6 months ago#3
It's probably there. They're just sitting on the tech, milking every gradient on the way.
With deeper knowledge and experience, everything else becomes more shallow.

User Info: Silvererazor

6 months ago#4
If the computeperformance progresses how it progressed over the last 7 years, the this would take ~10-12 years. At least in theory. In reality we will hit some kind of physical limitation in a few years. Also teraflops are a bad measurement fpr gamingperformance.

User Info: lightningbugx

6 months ago#5
Time to break out the calculator...

First, GPUs need either 256MB cache or 1TB memory bandwidth to be a mainstream feature in order to allow 40 TFLOPs to be useful.

That 256MB cache represents the target frame buffer sized for 64bit per pixel at 7680x4320 resolution. This will be enough to allow 8K, but it will be awesome for 4K HDR resolution, as you need more than 32bit per pixel to permit HDR color range.
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User Info: Judgmenl

6 months ago#6
10 years maybe?
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User Info: ZaruenKosai

6 months ago#7
7 years
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User Info: PsyEd

6 months ago#8
Maybe a Quantum CPU with volta's next gen/successor - so prolly 5 years.
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User Info: JKatarn

6 months ago#9
And that's just for graphics realism, to say nothing of the CPU power/memory bandwidth for the realistic physics/AI neural networks etc. games would need to feel realistic vs. just looking it. Unfortunately game AI and physics have advanced at a woefully slow pace as all the emphasis is on the graphics, but everything in the worlds is bolted down and the NPCs have the intelligence of ants.
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User Info: DarkZV2Beta

6 months ago#10
PsyEd posted...
Maybe a Quantum CPU with volta's next gen/successor - so prolly 5 years.

you realize quantum computing requires temperatures not just below 0c, but actually below 1k, right?
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