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User Info: LusterSoldier

LusterSoldier
3 months ago#31
We just got our upcoming game poll for this month and KH3 seems to be doing okay right now.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7475-

Given how weak this month is besides KH3 and RE2, around 50% for KH3 seems about expected.
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!

User Info: LusterSoldier

LusterSoldier
3 months ago#32
Poll updates and trend charts for the 3-way and 1v1 GotY polls:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17hoT3q7uhwz4siwbJN3oaLGPoiPpgpc7aX5XBvzZUX4/pub

Trend chart for the 3-way poll:

Time | GoW | Red Dead 2 | SSBU | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 29.81% | 16.77% | 53.42% | 161 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 30.05% | 19.62% | 50.33% | 1065 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 34.62% | 20.28% | 45.10% | 2441 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 34.41% | 22.74% | 42.85% | 1517 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 35.23% | 21.97% | 42.81% | 2836 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 33.25% | 23.41% | 43.34% | 2704 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 35.21% | 19.07% | 45.72% | 514 | (22:00-24:00)

God of War and RDR2 both have a terrible early vote. God of War does best at night and during the morning vote, but it does drop off during the day vote before getting a boost during the SNV again. RDR2's trends are a bit different from God of War, since it does only slightly better during the night vote compared to the Power Hour. RDR2 has a good moring vote and an even better day vote.

SSBU has a very strong early vote and Power Hour, then drops off hard during the night vote and performs worst during the morning and day vote. SSBU does perform better during the SNV, but it still doesn't come close to the Power Hour.

Trend chart for the 1v1 poll:

Time | GoW | SSBU | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 33.11% | 66.89% | 148 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 43.58% | 56.42% | 966 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 46.39% | 53.61% | 2272 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 46.99% | 53.01% | 1281 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 45.46% | 54.54% | 2633 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 45.49% | 54.51% | 2449 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 45.02% | 54.98% | 462 | (22:00-24:00)

SSBU again has a very strong early vote, but it lost nearly 7% on the second update of the poll before losing almost another 4% before the end of the Power Hour. SSBU performs worst during the night vote and early morning vote. God of War even managed to win 2 hours over SSBU overnight and also cut 31 votes off SSBU's lead (314 to 283) during the night vote. It took until 8:00 AM for SSBU to take control of this poll and begin extending its lead over God of War again.

Unlike in the 3-way poll, SSBU actually showed signs of a day vote here, but it still pales in comparison to the Power Hour. This poll happened on a weekend, which could explain the difference in trends between the 3-way and 1v1 polls. The day vote on the weekend starts in the morning. Another important element that fewer people work on the weekend (at least those with full time jobs), so the usual morning vote on the weekend doesn't resemble the weekday morning vote which contains a lot of older voters who have full time jobs. The presence of RDR2 in the could have also hurt SSBU's morning and day vote in the 3-way poll as RDR2 had a good morning and day vote.
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!

User Info: LusterSoldier

LusterSoldier
3 months ago#33
Head to head results between God of War / Red Dead Redemption 2 / Super Smash Bros. Ultimate from the 3 main GotY polls:

SSBU vs. God of War (9-way poll) - 56.54%
SSBU vs. God of War (3-way poll) - 56.58%
SSBU vs. God of War (1v1 poll) - 54.33%
God of War vs. RDR2 (9-way poll) - 56.56%
God of War vs. RDR2 (3-way poll) - 61.05%
SSBU vs. RDR2 (9-way poll) - 62.88%
SSBU vs. RDR2 (3-way poll) - 67.13%

Even though God of War was largely consistent against SSBU in the 9-way and 3-way polls, RDR2 was not consistent between those 2 polls. RDR2 did worse against both God of War and SSBU in the 3-way poll compared to the 1v1 poll. The best explanation for RDR2 getting weaker in the 3-way poll is the anti-vote factor. RDR2 had a far worse early vote in the 9-way poll, and there were only 2 other options someone could vote for if they wanted to anti-vote RDR2 in the 3-way poll (one of which also has a poor early vote). RDR2 only went from 19.68% in the 9-way poll to 21.69% in the 3-way poll. Based on the 9-way poll results, RDR2 should have actually gotten 25.03% instead. I do think the 3-way poll is a better measure of RDR2's strength in a 1v1 poll, especially when anti-votes are an intrinsic part of its strength.

The GTA series is well-known for being anti-voted on this site. The developer of the GTA games is Rockstar. RDR2 is also developed by the same company. It seems likely that all Rockstar games will suffer from anti-votes on this site.

SSBU was pretty consistent on God of War in the 9-way and 3-way poll, but it performed about 2% worse in the 1v1 poll. One possible explanation for this is LFF and this would have been absent from the 1v1 poll. God of War and RDR2 would largely appeal to the same group of gamers.
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
(edited 3 months ago)

User Info: SuperNiceDog

SuperNiceDog
3 months ago#34
hey I got on the top 50 for 2nd chance! wow I guess my bracket there was ok.
Advokaiser

User Info: _Dog_

_Dog_
3 months ago#35
I wonder what makes GTA (and Rockstar) anti-voted so hard in this site.
The Big Problem with the Pokemon anime:
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/217-pokemon/75265633

User Info: charmander6000

charmander6000
3 months ago#36
It's popular and not Nintendo.
Congratulations to Advokaiser for winning the guru contest.

User Info: AsaAkira

AsaAkira
3 months ago#37
charmander6000 posted...
It's popular and not Nintendo.
2013 AVN Award for Female Performer of the Year
<333

User Info: pjbasis

pjbasis
3 months ago#38
I feel like it's too simple to just chalk that up as anti-vote.

Going backwards, RDR2 is the only one that "retains" it's 1v1 strength because it has a hardcore fanbase that won't abandon it as easily.
http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
(edited 3 months ago)

User Info: LusterSoldier

LusterSoldier
3 months ago#39
And now the Switch is losing another poll to the PS4 after losing to the PS4 just 2 days ago.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7476-
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!

User Info: LusterSoldier

LusterSoldier
3 months ago#40
Yuri_LowelI posted...
Number 2 is the main reason switch has so many votes. It’s clearly the new and hit playform right now. And yeah PS4 does have higher playerbase

Unless you don’t own the consoles but choices 1ans 3 should be the reasons to pick your system of th year.


I did run a poll on a different board as to how people decide their vote for System of the Year, and "most played system in 2018" was the most popular reason in how they choose which system to vote for. About half of all voters simply go with their most played system with the other half of voters being evenly split between favorite system right now and the system with the strongest library.

Most played system in 2018 explaining why PS4 won System of the Year makes sense since PS4 has been the winner of the "most played system recently" polls such as these polls:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7118-
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7037-
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6649-
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
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