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User Info: Gunty_

Gunty_
11 years ago#11
Indeed, I kinda messed up there. As you said, the correct formulas should be:

Including pass 3:

P(n) = 49 / 23040 * (9 - n)

P(0) = 1.91
P(1) = 1.70
P(2) = 1.49
P(3) = 1.28
P(4) = 1.06
P(5) = 0.85
P(6) = 0.64
P(7) = 0.43
P(8) = 0.21

Excluding pass 3:

P(n) = 5 / 2304 * (9 - n)

P(0) = 1.95
P(1) = 1.74
P(2) = 1.52
P(3) = 1.30
P(4) = 1.09
P(5) = 0.87
P(6) = 0.65
P(7) = 0.43
P(8) = 0.22

But again, don't consider the pass 3 probability as the truth; it's just a number I vaguely remember. I'll see if I can get more data on it though.
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